Top Line Election Results
As predicted, both the federal election and the California state election will not be decided until later. It is possible that the White House will not be decided until Friday if Pennsylvania is the swing state to elect the President. However, it is possible that by late today or noon tomorrow the presidential election will be decided if voting is faster in swing states, other than Pennsylvania.
Federal Top Line – November 4, 2020, 10:00 a.m.
- House of Representatives stays Democratic
- United States Senate: Too close to call
- White House: Too close to call
State Top Line – November 4, 2020, 10:00 a.m.
- Almost 12,000,000 ballots have already been counted.
- The Secretary of State has not reported on the number of still to be processed ballots.
- Ballots postmarked by midnight November 3 can still be counted if they are received by November 20.
- If turnout is 75% then there still are 4,500,000 ballots to be counted. We do not have actual turnout numbers and will not for at least a week because of late arriving mailed ballots.
State Ballot Propositions
We will treat Propositions with greater than 55% of the vote at this time as either pass or fail because their outcome probably will not change after all the remaining ballots are counted. All other Propositions will be considered too close to call (TCTC).
The following are the Propositions that have probable effects for K-14 Education:
- Proposition 15: TCTC
- Proposition 16: Failed
- Proposition 19: TCTC
- Proposition 21: Failed
- Proposition 24: Passed
California State Senate
Democrats will maintain a 2/3 supermajority; could increase the number of Democratic State Senators.
California State Assembly
Democrats will maintain their 2/3 supermajority and could lose or gain one or two more seats, but that will not affect the supermajority.
Local School Bonds
Insufficient data at this time.
~Dave Walrath, Legislative Advocate